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adam

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Everything posted by adam

  1. If DET and CHI finished at 11-6 each, there is a good chance they both have the same Division record (3-3), Conference record (7-5), and record in common games (8-4), which would then move to the Strength of Victory criteria, which just based on their schedule, DET would more than likely win it. What sucks is you benefit from beating a good team, but are not penalized for losing to a bad team with Strength of Victory. For CHI to win the division outright, they will need to beat DET by at least one game on the season, which may be decided in Week 18. With GB having a tie, that takes all the tie breakers out of the equation. The easiest route to the Division is sweeping GB and beating DET. That would give the Bears a 4-2 DIV record and DET would end up at 3-3. They would then only need to win 1 game against PIT, CLE, SF, and PHI to finish 11-6. Win two of those and you more than likely win the division outright at 12-5, but it still would come down to Week 18. There is crazy scenario where the winner of Week 18 wins the Division, and the loser misses the playoffs (because of GB's tie).
  2. Looks like Rodgers won't play, still possible, but unlikely. So it will be Mason Rudolph. Can't lose to another backup QB after losing to BAL. They need to take care of business and get right at Soldier Field on Sunday. Sunday weather is forecasted in the high 40s to low 50s, partly cloudy, perfect football weather. Bears by double digits!
  3. There it is, 2/3 of his drop backs he was blitzed on. On the other 12, he was at least pressured on half of them (will have to watch the game to get exact number). So potentially, he had no blitz or no pressure on 6 or fewer drop backs the entire game. Wild stat if that's what it ends up being. Johnson has to draw up more blitz beaters.
  4. In their last 8 starts each, Nix and Maye are 8-0, and Williams is 7-1. So combined those 3 are 23-1 in their last 24 starts. Has there ever been a trio of QBs from the same class do that ever?
  5. PIT only sacked Flacco once. Chase Brown had 99 yards rushing on 5.5 YPC. Flacco targeted Chase and Higgins 18 times and they only had 6 receptions. Rodgers had a 38.2 QBR and Rudolph had a 25.1 QBR against CIN. For Rodgers, that follows a game against LAC where he had a 4.5 QBR. Rodgers has looked really old and slow the last two weeks.
  6. Week 11 - 1. Maye - 83.4 - 281 yds, 1 TD, 0INT, 1 sack, 2 Rush Yds. 283 Total Yards. Won. Season QBR: 73.9, 2,836 yards, 20-5 TD-INT, 36 Sacks, 2 TD (11g) 2. Nix - 53.4 QBR - 295 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 2 sacks, 8 Rush Yds. 303 Total Yards. Won. Season QBR: 54.8, 2,421 yards, 18-8 TD-INT, 12 Sacks, 3 Rush TD. (11g) 3. Penix - 90.1 QBR - 175 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT. 175 Total Yards. Lost. (Injured) Season QBR: 56.6, 1,882 yards, 9-3 TD-INT, 13 Sacks, 1 TD 4. Williams - 24.1 QBR - 193 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 2 sacks, 26 Rush Yds. 219 Total Yards. Won. Season QBR: 54.6, 2,329 yards, 13-4 TD-INT, 16 Sacks, 3 Rush TD, 1 Rec TD. (10g) 5. Daniels - Gumby Arm. DNP. Season QBR: 51.2, 1,184 yards, 8-2 TD-INT, 17 Sacks, 2 FL. 6. Rattler - DNP. Season QBR: 49.4, 1,586 yards, 8-5 TD-INT, 18 Sacks, 1 FL (benched for rookie). 7. Nine - 22.5 QBR - 150 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT. 150 Total Yards. Lost. Season QBR: 26.7, 842 yards, 6-8 TD-INT, 15 Sacks, 2 Rush TD. Caleb's 2nd lowest QBR game of the season, only the NO game was worse. He now needs to average 239 yards passing per game for the last 7 to hit 4K.
  7. Gonna have to rewatch the game as it was hard to assess everything in real time. It felt like MIN blitzed or had instant pressure on almost every drop back and instead of some quick routes, they were longer developing plays that didn't match with the protection. I would say Caleb tried extending 2-3 plays when he could've just dumped it off. He had for sure 2 overthrows, one on a scramble, and one on a designed pass. Outside of those plays, it just felt like he never had time to do too much. Play calling was suspect. Johnson got cute, using Homer on a critical 3rd Down, giving Smythe targets, and trying some fake trick plays with Bagent on the field instead of an extra blocker. I don't remember any turnover-worthy throws, so I believe Caleb was clean in that respect and he is finally throwing the ball away when nothing is open, which is a slight change where he would take an unnecessary sack or make a risky throw. He escaped 2-3 more sacks and ended up with only 2 for minimal lost yards, so I would say that was a success considering the pressure rate. One time during the telecast they said Flores had blitzed 70% of the time, the most he has done all season. Receivers are still dropping passes, and now they are on the chest drops. Burden, Odunze, and Moore had at least one each. Very frustrating considering they were in a dome with zero elements to deal with. To me play calling and protection from instant pressure were bigger issues than anything Caleb did or didn't do. Special Teams coverage units are still getting gashed. Hightower needs to go and they need someone to fix the coverage units. Outside of Duvernay's long kick return, the return units were terrible, especially on punts. Duvernay should not be tackled by 7 defenders with only one Bear in the frame. The Defense continues to fold in the 4th Quarter when they go into Prevent. They had zero sacks, and very little pressure. Watching Dexter a few times, it didn't even look like he was trying to get to the passer, he looked like a Dancing Bear at times. Jarrett was getting more push than anyone in the middle. Refs continue to screw the Bears, who had more penalties and yards than the Vikings, the 9th time this season. The worst was the missed face mask on Homer within 5 yards of the ref who is looking right at the play, no call. That is 15 yards and an auto first down.
  8. Yeah, there is a good chance that CHI, DET, SEA, and SF all end up at 11-6, and GB finishes at 10-6-1. The Bears would still make the playoffs, but probably as the WC6 or WC7. DET would more than likely win the tie breaker, even if the Bears beat them in Week 18 due to the Bears lower SOS. So that would put the Bears in the Wild Card as the 5th, 6th, or 7th seed with SEA and SF. So they need to beat SF to get the H2H tiebreaker, and they would have a chance to have the tiebreaker against SEA within the conference. WC5 will play on the road against the South Div winner, currently TB. That slot might actually be better than winning the division, then getting DET, SEA, or SF coming to you.
  9. I still can't believe they kept rolling with Eberflus into Year 3. He didn't win his 7th game until his 29th game. At that point, the Bears were 7-22 under him. It took Johnson 10 games to hit 7 wins.
  10. 10 4th quarter TDs allowed in 10 games, 6 in the last 4 games, 5 in the first 2.
  11. The MIN first half: Punt, Punt, FG, Punt, INT, INT. 3rd Quarter: Punt, Punt 4th Quarter: Bears up 16-3: TD, Punt, TD To me they are allowing the easy passes over the middle to prevent the 50 yard chunk plays, but in doing so, they are making it easy enough that a middle school QB has 5 TD drives against this defense in the 4th quarter in 2 games. Against MIN and McCarthy in 6 quarters (1st-3rd in both games) have allowed a total of 9 points. Then in 2 4th quarters, have allowed 35. So 1.5 pts per quarter for the first 3 quarters to 17.5 in the 4th. I will have to check the splits but that just seems bonkers, like the CIN game too.
  12. Honestly, if Fields was QB today, the Bears lose 17-9, and their last minute drive for a TD ends on a turnover on downs.
  13. Yeah I agree, I wouldn't wait either, but I don't know how common that is during the season to do that.
  14. What a weird game. Bears had the ball for 37 mins to MIN's 23. Complete domination for time of possession. They held MIN to 3-11 on 3rd Down, and only allowed 265 total yards, yet they allowed 2-3 in the RZ
  15. If there is a report button on the ad, please use it. I will message the site owners.
  16. Depending on the outcome of a few games in progress this weekend, there will be a max of only 5 teams that will have a better record than the Bears at 7-3 heading in Week 12, NE at 9-2, IND 8-2, DEN 8-2, the winner of SEAvLAR at 8-2, and possibly PHI at 8-2. If DET wins, then only 4 teams with PHI dropping to 7-3.
  17. I have a popup blocker on, so I don't see any ads. Is there some crazy stuff going on in the ads?
  18. Still leads the league in INTs with his 5th (should be 6). He has been holding the secondary together with all the injuries, and he is still making huge plays.
  19. Still right on track, which is wild how we got here. It feels like the NFL version of Trains, Planes, and Automobiles. "You're going the wrong way!", but somehow we ended up with the projected record going into Week 12, which really becomes ANOTHER must-win to make a clearer path to the playoffs. 12 Pittsburgh Steelers - WIN (8-3) 13 @ Philadelphia Eagles - LOSS (8-4) (if they lose to DET, this game may not be as bad as it once was; they have looked off this year) 14 @ Green Bay Packers - TOSS UP (barely beat the Giants with Winston at QB) 15 Cleveland Browns - WIN 16 Green Bay Packers - TOSS UP 17 @ San Francisco 49ers - TOSS UP (just make McCaffrey a non-factor, make someone else beat you) 18 Detroit Lions - LOSS
  20. 7-3, currently in 1st Place, and a chance to maintain it for the week if the Eagles beat the Lions. The Bears already have 2 more wins than last year with 7 games left, 4-3 or 3-4 in the final 7 are the most likely outcomes. However, if PHI beats DET, the only team remaining on their schedule with a better record than them is PHI. Bears 5-12 > 7-3 (+4.5 games) ~ 10-11 win team Packers 11-6 > 6-3-1 (-1.5 games) ~9-10 win team Lions 15-2 > 6-3 (-5 games) ~ 10-11 win team Vikings 14-3 > 4-6 (-6.5 games) ~ 7-8 win team
  21. Super athletic player, just not a starting QB. I am glad the Bears (Poles) made the correct decision to move on from him instead of trading the #1 pick for the "haul" and trying to build around Fields.
  22. Looks like the odds will start at Bears -1.5 but they opened at -2.5, and it may change again with injury news. The Steelers are in the bottom half of the league for offense and defense. With the schedule about to get extremely tough, this becomes another game they need to win. Bears 27-20.
  23. Lions have to beat the Eagles. A good chance the Bears are still in 1st after that game.
  24. They had Darnold and Daniel Jones lol. There were a lot of wide open receivers with no pass rush.
  25. Every week the Bears have the refs against them, inaccurate passes from Caleb, bad play calling, terrible protection, dropped passes, unbelievably bad Special Teams, a porous defense, and somehow they still win lol.
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