adam

Week 5 - Williams - BYE Week / Season QBR: 64.8, 927 yards, 8-2 TD-INT Maye - 64.1 QBR - 273 yds. 0 TD, 0 INT, 4 sacks, and 12 rushing yds. 285 Total Yards. Won. / Season QBR: 63.7, 1261 yards, 7-2 TD-INT Penix - BYE Week / Season QBR: 57.5, 918 yards, 3-3 TD-INT Nix - 63.7 QBR - 242 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT, 2 sacks, and 22 rushing yds. 264 Total Yards. Won. / Season QBR: 54.8, 1003 yards, 8-4 TD-INT Daniels - 71.7 QBR - 231 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT, 1 sack, and 39 rushing yds. 270 Total Yards. Won. / Season QBR: 45.4, 664 yards, 4-0 TD-INT McCarthy - Always hurt / Season QBR: 21.5 (Last in NFL), 301 yards, 2-3 TD-INT 2nd Year QBs were 3-0 this week. 7-0 the last two weeks. By virtue of how opponents did today, Williams is now the highest 2nd Year QB for QBR passing Maye by 1.1. Watching the games today, it almost seemed like half the games didn't matter for 3 quarters, then the teams starting playing.

We will see what he looks like this weekend against LAC. He is a completely different QB without his mobility.

I did not know Moore, OZ, and Swift grew up near each other and played football together before college. Moore and Swift are really close.

Yeah, I forgot about that. He is trending for the low 30s. I will have to look but I think cutting sacks in half with a comparable amount of attempts has to be unprecedented. Guys like David Carr took sacks every year.

Pretty cool chart for Caleb/Ben. With all the penalties and non-existent run game, this becomes even a bigger example of how good he has been when it is needed.

WAS gives up the 9th most passing yards and are the 5th worst in EPA/Pass against. WAS has faced Wilson, Love, Smith, and Penix, and the last 3 threw for over 289 yards and combined for 7 TD and 1 INT in the last 3 games. Geno passed for 289 yards and 3 TDs against WAS and only 117 and 2 TDs against the Bears. So this is a favorable matchup.

Ekeler was also lost for the season, and Daniels is coming back from injury. Seeing what he looks like this weekend will give us a better idea. Getting Jarrett, Edwards, and Gordon back will help because they are all solid against the run.

Year 2 - 1st Round WRs Pearsall 20-327, 0 TD Odunze 20-296, 5 TD Nabers 18-271, 2 TD (on IR) Harrison Jr 16-208, 2 TD Thomas 12-164, 0 TD Worthy 5-83, 0 TD Leggette 4-8, 0 TD Man, Leggette was a terrible pick for the Panthers.

Caleb Comparison 2025 - 4 games 4 games with 200 yards passing (100%) 4 games with at least 1 TD pass (100%) 3 games with 60% Comp (only game not 59.5%) (75%) 3 games with 2 or fewer sacks (75%) 2024 - 17 games 8 games with 200 yards passing (47%) 7 games w/o a TD Pass (41%), 7 games with Comp% below 60 (41%) 5 games with 2 or fewer sacks (29%) Also, Caleb is on a 4-game streak with at least 200 yards passing, 3 games was his longest streak last season. Going back to Week 18 last year, he now has 5 straight games with a TD pass. He has thrown only 8 INTs in 692 career attempts, which is the lowest rate in NFL history to start a career.

I agree, and even if he is "recovered" I don't think he has the same strength he had previously, which was already a liability.

From some reports, that may be where he is headed.

It is baffling to me, because he is out there on Special Teams, and is listed as the 2nd string RB on their official depth chart: https://www.chicagobears.com/team/depth-chart

Bears blockers as a team are 3rd in Run Block Win Rate. https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/46138675/2025-nfl-win-rates-top-teams-players-rankings-pass-run-block

I just think if the player is going to be inactive, then before you have games with him being inactive, but not for injury, you trade him before you tank his value.

I think there are two parts to this. The player change definitely helped because Jones is not really a mauler. I also think the Raiders gassed themselves a little bit. If I asked you who won the Time of Possession battle, just thinking back about the game, I would assume you would say LVR won it (I thought they did) because of their running game, but in reality the Bears had the edge 33 mins to 27, and ran 64 plays to 52. In the 4th quarter the Bears had the ball on offense for basically 10 minutes out of 15 with 19 plays before the kneel down. The Bears going 7-16 on 3rd Down and 1-1 on 4th Down compared to LVR 2-8 and 0-1 respectively, was another factor. There was a stat coming into this week that the Bears were one of the best teams on yards before contact, but Swift was one of the worst YPC. I think it is a mix of both but for me, with more blame on Swift because Monangai should not have a better YPC than Swift as a rookie.

Huge injury news, Edwards, Loveland, AND Gordon all practiced today, so unless they have setbacks they will all be full goes for WAS in 13 days. Edwards is a tackling machine and Gordon is the swiss army knife they have missed. If Jarrett gets healed up too, it would be the first game with at least 10 starters on defense with JJ still out. Johnson also gets time to figure out the O-Line shuffle and incorporate Loveland and Burden more in the game plan.

One move I didn't think about was trading Braxton Jones for an RB or Edge. Very well possible if they are going to go with Benedet or Trapilo. Some have speculated that he would be inactive instead of a backup because he exclusively plays on the left.

Lamar is going to miss a few weeks with a hamstring.

Interesting how close Goff and Williams are passing: Goff 929 yds, 9 TD, 2 INT Williams 927 yds, 8 TD, 2 INT, 11th in yards, t-3rd in TD Passes, 15th in QBR, 14th in QB Rating. All the while Goff has Gibbs and Monty as RBs. Huge difference in running game support. Williams current 97.8 Rating would be the highest QB Rating in a single season in franchise history (w/ more than 250 attempts). Trubisky had a 95.4 in 434 attempts in 2018.

The Bears have to take care of business in the next 5 weeks before they hit the gauntlet of games starting in MIN in Week 11. The next 5 teams combine for a record of 6-14, then the last 8 combine for a current record of 20-10-2, 19-7-2 without CLE. If you hope for 4-1 in the next 5, then they need 4-4 to hit 10 wins, MIN, CLE, GB, and SF, PIT, or DET. Week 6 at WAS 2-2 (#10 OFF EPA/P) Week 7 vs NO 0-4 Week 8 at BAL 1-3 (#7 OFF EPA/P) Week 9 at CIN 2-2 Week 10 vs NYG 1-3 -------------------- Weel 11 at MIN 2-2 (#1 DEF for EPA/P) Week 12 vs PIT 3-1 Week 13 at PHI 4-0 (FRI Game on the road ugh, short week+road, feels like the DET game in Week 2, #4 DEF EPA/P) Week 14 at GB 2-1-1 (GB gets one day of extra rest playing on THU while Bears play on FRI, #4 OFF EPA/P) Week 15 vs CLE 1-3 (#12 DEF EPA/P) Week 16 vs GB 2-1-1 (SAT Game, short week, GB has to travel back from SUN afternoon game in DEN, helps Bears, #4 OFF EPA/P) Week 17 at SF 3-1 (SF plays MNF in Week 16 in IND, short week plus travel back home helps Bears, #9 DEF EPA/P) Week 18 vs DET 3-1 (could easily be resting their starters for this one, in CHI in January lol for Goff, #3 OFF EPA/P, #5 DEF EPA/P) 2 games left vs an Elite offense only (GBx2) 4 games left vs an Elite defense (MIN, PHI, CLE, SF, 3 on the road) 1 game left vs a team with an elite offense and defense (DET) The Bears are 22nd on offense and 20th on defense for EPA/P. Rushing game on offense is the biggest liability with the run defense the 2nd biggest issue. Pass Defense the biggest strength followed by Pass Offense.

With the DEN win, all 4 2nd Year QBs that played won this week. Nix had a really good game, and bumped his QBR over 50. So going into Week 5, the 4 non-injured QBs all have QBRs over 50, which is cool to see. Hopefully this group turns out to be the next 1983 QB class.

Yeah, they have fallen off even more than I thought they did. BAL did not look good either. Next 5, all are winnable.

Yeah, he definitely has the physical traits.

It is really hard for me to evaluate the defense with so many injuries but I can see a few players individually making plays. I thought Stevenson and Byard have been the two standout players so far, especially the last two weeks. You didn't mention getting Gordon back. I think it will be a huge boost to get him back. Edmunds is playing better, but yeah, he is not worth what he is being paid. Need Edwards back, Sewell is ok, but not a full time starter. I don't know what to make of the DLine. Billings and Dexter are the starters, and neither are playing as good as they did last year. Sweat is a great DE2 but needs more sacks to be in the DE1 conversation. I don't know if we have even seen Jarrett healthy yet. Kind of disappointed in Turner so far, for a 2nd round pick, you should not be that invisible. The defense as a whole has been underwhelming outside of the takeaways. For offense, Caleb and Rome have been the standout players. The O-Line still feels like it is a work in progress. I was hoping the interior would be a strength but Jackson has been terrible, and both Dalman and Thuney have not lived up to their billing. The OTs have been a weakness, but some promising play in the 2nd half from the young bucks. So we will see. Swift has been bad. I don't know why they have not tried Roschon or anyone else at this point. With the emergence of Burden, Moore feels like an easy trade candidate, if not at the deadline, then definitely in the offseason. Kmet is probably 2nd on that list from the offense. They drafted his replacement and Kmet is playing worse than he did last year thru 4 weeks. Special Teams overall has been a massive disappointment before Cairo hitting 4 FGs and Blackwell making that block. Coverage units have been terrible, punting has been bad, and returns have been ok, but nothing to write home about. For defense, they still need impact players at DT, Edge, LB, and S. On offense, RB and OT are the top priorities.

In the last two games he has allowed 3 receptions for 16 yards on 12 targets with 3 PBUs, an INT, and a forced fumble + fumble recovery. PFF had the LVR game as his highest graded game of his career at 93.3 and the DAL game was his 3rd best. So in the last two weeks, Stevenson had 2 of his top 3 games of his career, and both games he was technically CB1. This is year 3 for him, but if he keeps this up, the Bears may want to get in front of an extension because he will only get more expensive.