Year 2 QB QBR Tracker

[Bears4Ever_34]

Bo Nix is 2018 Mitchell Trubisky on this Broncos team. Where would he be without that defense?

[Pixote]

1 hour ago, Bears4Ever_34 said:

Bo Nix is 2018 Mitchell Trubisky on this Broncos team. Where would he be without that defense?

I assume by your comment, you watched tonight's game? Pete Carroll is an idiot. Why in the h*ll did he allow G Smith to return to the field when he could hardly walk? STUPID!!!

[adam]

10 hours ago, Bears4Ever_34 said:

Bo Nix is 2018 Mitchell Trubisky on this Broncos team. Where would he be without that defense?

Yeah, the difference is Payton is better than Nagy. Outside of like 5 quarters of play, Nix has been terrible. In those 5 quarters though, All Pro QB. In the other 35, not an NFL starter.

8 hours ago, Pixote said:

I assume by your comment, you watched tonight's game? Pete Carroll is an idiot. Why in the h*ll did he allow G Smith to return to the field when he could hardly walk? STUPID!!!

Carroll was a great coach and rah rah guy, but not anymore. He looks lost out there. 

[adam]

Can you imagine the media firestorm if Williams threw 2 INTs with several other bad throws, only had 150 yards passing with one of them for 43 yds, which means the other 15 were for 107 yards? Instead, Nix wins Player of the Game, lmao!

The game-winning FG came after a blocked punt where the offense lost 2 yards. 

Nix in his last 2 games combined: 34-65, 52.3%, 323 yds, 4.97 Y/A, 3 TD, 3 INT - but both were wins, so he is gritty.

In those 2 games, DEN allowed a total of 22 pts and scored 28 lmao. 

[adam]

Week 10 - 

1. Maye - XXX
Season QBR: 74.2, 2,285 yards, 17-4 TD-INT, 34 Sacks, 2 TD, 1 FL

2. Penix - XXX
Season QBR: 57.7, 1649 yards, 8-3 TD-INT, 10 Sacks, 1 TD, 1 FL

3. Williams - XXX
Season QBR: 55.4, 1916 yards, 12-4 TD-INT, 14 Sacks, 2 Rush TD, 1 Rec TD. 

4. Nix - 53.4 QBR -  150 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT, 1 sack, -2 Rush Yds. 148 Total Yards. Won
Season QBR: 54.9, 2126 yards, 18-8 TD-INT, 10 Sacks, 3 TD

5. Daniels - XXXX
Season QBR: 51.1, 875 yards, 7-1 TD-INT, 13 Sacks, 2 FL

6. Rattler - XXX
Season QBR: 50.1, 1450 yards, 8-4 TD-INT, 1 FL (benched for rookie)

7. McCarthy - XXX
Season QBR: 31.8, 444 yards, 4-4 TD-INT, 14 Sacks, 2 Rush TD

 

 

[Alaskan Grizzly]

20 hours ago, adam said:

The Pats were up by 10 entering the 4th? His GWD was against BUF. They were tied and he led the last scoring drive. That's why it was not a 4Q Comeback, because they were tied.

Ah.  I misread what I saw about the Falcon game. I thought  they were down by one in the fourth.  When in fact (ironically) Penix was actually the one trying to make the comeback for Atl.  

[adam]

Saw a thread on Twitter about EPA, so in looking for one thing, I ran across some interesting plays. These were the most impactful negative plays against Williams so far this season that were not an Interception or fumble lost:

Week 8 - BAL - Bears down 30-16 with 33 seconds left. 4th and 1, Incomplete pass to DJ Moore, -3.9 EPA

Week 6 - WSH - Bears up 13-7, 2nd Quarter, 4th and 1, Incomplete pass to Odunze, -3.5 EPA

Week 4 - LVR - Fumble but recovered, 4th Quarter, 3rd and 5, -2.6 EPA

Week 2 - DET - 2nd Quarter, 4th and 1, rush for no gain, -3.5 EPA

Week 1 - MIN - 2nd Quarter, 4th and 3, incomplete to Moore, -3.5 EPA (2nd most important play of that game)

Week 1 - MIN - 1st Quarter, 3rd and 2, Odunze for -4 yards, -2.3 EPA (9th most important play of that game)
 

These were all top-10 most impactful plays for that week (for either team). A few things stand out, they treat a turnover on downs as bad as an INT, but only on the QB. If a receiver makes a reception but loses yards on the play, that is also on the QB. Garbage time stats still matter, which can pad stats but also hurt. In this case, Caleb lost 3.9 EPA on the last play of the game against BAL down 14 pts. The fumbled snap against LVR which lost 6 yards was -2.6 EPA.

These plays are considered so bad that it takes a monster play to offset them or several positive plays.