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Playoffs!!!


DABEARSDABOMB

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7 minutes ago, Stinger226 said:

Who would you prefer to face in the first game? GB, SF or LA? 

IMO the Packers are the weakest of those three. LA lost to Atlanta last night and looked beatable. I least would want to face SF that's running hot right now.

Honestly, the way we play, it'll be a fight till the end with any team we go up against.  I'll take home field and roll up my sleeves...

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There are 4 teams that have a positive EPA/P of +0.02 or greater on offense and -0.02 on defense. Surprisingly, the Bears are one of them (for how bad the defense has been lately):

LAR, NE, BUF, and CHI.

DEN would be the 5th but are only +0.01 on offense.

Every other team either has a negative offense or defense that are in the playoffs.

What does all of that mean? Those are the 4 most consistent teams and are most likely to progress thru the playoffs because probabilities are stronger in the playoffs. Home field advantage goes up 10% in the playoffs, meaning home teams win 10% more than they do in the regular season. 

LAR @ CHI and BUF @ NE for the Conference Championships would not be surprising at all.

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