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Everything posted by adam
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Burden would've been matched up against CB3, now CB4. Across the board, teams are going to be able to throw against GB like they did when Alexander was out. 6-1 with Alexander (only loss to PHI) 5-5 without Alexander It looks like GB is going to be more like an 8 to 9 win team this year at best.
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GB just released Alexander. He was their CB1, even if he missed some time with injuries, that is a huge hole to fill post June 1.
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The biggest unknown was Nagy was never a play caller, or when he was, didn't do it very well. That was always the knock on him coming from KC. So if you have an offensive coach who isn't a great playcaller, what do you really have? Nagy had to figure out how to be a Play Caller while trying to figure out how to be a HC at the same time and it eventually got exposed. Fangio's defense masked it for a year, but then, like you said Stinger, Pace's draft picks and roster construction finally came back to bite him.
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Yes, those are passing numbers. For rushing: Daniels had 37 RZ Rushes and 6 TDs Nix had 17 and 3 TDs So both Nix had 25 total TDs and 1 INT Williams had 10 and 0 TDs (this really hurt Caleb's advanced stats) Maye had 5 rushes and 2 TDs From the 20-49: Williams had 7 TD - 3 INT Maye 6 - 1 Nix had 5 - 5 Daniels 4 - 3 Surprised to see that Maye was the best in that part of the field.
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I think it is wild that Williams took the fewest sacks in the RZ, and had the fewest INTs (that is less surprising). Nix and Daniels both benefitted from a high powered offense so their TDs numbers were gonna be higher.
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Bo Nix had a 22 TD - 1 INT ratio, 109.4 QB Rating in the RZ with 3 sacks. Daniels had a 19 TD - 1 INT with a 104.8 QB Rating with 4 sacks. Williams was 13-0, with a 96.8 QB Rating with 2 sacks. Maye was 9-2, with a 76.5 QB Rating with 6 sacks. No other rookie QBs qualified.
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I agree. It is more of a novelty and should not be used as your sole source.
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I know it is statistically not realistic, but people are calling for huge years for Burden and Odunze. Moore and Kmet are fairly consistent, and that doesn't even include Loveland. I really think this offense is poised to crush franchise records.
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There are some good parts to PFF, but you have to dig. The grades from a macro view are ok, but still subjective. However, they do have some advanced analytics numbers that are based on real stats (comparable to NFL Next Gen Stats).
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Good info, I didn't even pay attention to his deal.
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Daniels ranking is solely due to his scrambling. Technically Nix had the best passing season of the top 3 rookies last season. I don't know how you can have Williams after Bryce Young, McCarthy (ultimately a rookie), Maye, and Penix. That is just silly.
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Frank Ragnow, Lions Center, unexpectedly retired. Huge blow to their O-Line. They had already lost Zeitler, so 40% of their O-Line is gone. I don't know why he waited until after free agency and the draft (maybe he tried to give it a go), but either way, you don't just replace an All-Pro Center with anyone. This feels like a huge offensive regression coming from Detroit this year. Goff with pressure up the gut is the worst for him because he is not very mobile.
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PFF has Andrews at #4 AND Likely at #9. That is crazy talk.
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The media in general hates Kmet. Even with Loveland, Kmet is still a top 20 TE.
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Bagent signed a 3-year UDFA deal, so technically, he is not on a typical 4 or 5-year rookie deal. This is the last year of that deal.
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The only way a PS guy gets poached is if he is signed to another team's 53-man roster, so that process would only be indirectly impacted by keeping Keenum on the 53-man. So if Keenum was on the roster last year, he would've replaced Blasingame or Velus based on usage. Blasingame = 10 snaps + 25 ST snaps Jones Jr. = 4 snaps + 12 ST snaps If he makes it this year, he would either replace RB5 or WR6 Right now that is Scott or Toure as WR6 or the loser of Monangai or Wheeler as RB5. If Monangai loses out, he is a PS Candidate anyway. It doesn't seem like Keenum would negatively impact the game day rosters. I am sure injuries will drive this decision. He is a nice luxury until a key starter goes down and they need the depth at a different position.
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It could happen, but with the emergency QB thing, it wouldn't impact the game day roster as all. As for the 53-man, the bottom 3-5 guys come up and down from the PS anyway, so having one fewer guy do that to have a 3rd QB (if he is that important) seems like a no brainer.
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This was such an odd topic because most fans could care less about the story, but the media kept telling each other that it was a big story. So odd. If anyone was in Caleb's shoes and not a previous Bears fan in late 2023, I would not expect anything different. KOC made Darnold look like the 2nd coming of Dan Marino, they play in a dome, have a great defense, and a decent WR in Justin Jefferson. Why would you not want to go there? Or you can go to the Bears where they were quick to cast off Trubisky and Fields, and had Matt Eberflus as the HC, and a revolving door at OC and DC. Depending on when the comments were given, the Bears started 2-7 and 3-8 in 2023 and if not for a late season surge, would've had a top 5 pick themselves. I am just glad this has been put to bed.
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The vibe around this team really is different. Before, the optimism was based on hope, now it is legitimately backed up with the players and coaches. Still early but it is nice to see the change this soon. Every time there was a controversy before, Flus would downplay, deflect, or flat out not comment on it. When in reality there were like 10 huge elephants in the room. Now both Johnson and Williams have come out and addressed what could've morphed into something bigger. Players on both sides of the ball, especially ones that were here from last year are saying how things are more challenging. Sweat said DA's defense has a lot more complexity to it than he is used to. It makes sense because how complex could a Flus defense really get if Flus was the mastermind?
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and Patrick Finley asking one of the most ridiculous questions of all-time "Caleb, does your dad speak for you?" Can you imagine asking a grown man this question and being serious about it? Our media has always been mixed, either super homer or super negative, but this is on an entirely new level of stupid. The media gets Caleb for only a few minutes to ask questions you can't get anywhere else and he felt it was necessary to get that answer?
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Most of Daniels advanced stats (EPA, QBR, even PFF) were artificially inflated because of his scrambles. He is still a good QB, but we all saw what that fluff looked like with Fields and once they pinned him in and took away his first read, he really fell off a cliff.
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He really stressed the defenses with the threat of running, and he did make good decisions, but rushing+sacks near 200 times is unsustainable. Daniels had 148 rushing attempts and was sacked 47 times, for 195 potential hits. Lamar Jackson had 139 rushing attempts + 23 sacks = 162 Josh Allen had 102 rushing attempts + 14 sacks = 116 Caleb had twice as many sacks and was still basically 25% lower: 81+68 = 149 If Caleb cuts his sacks in half he would be near Josh Allen's range which seems like the sweet spot for QBs that extend plays. There are 2x QBs in NFL history to have over 40 sacks and 130 rushing attempts in a season, 2022 Justin Fields (55+160=210) and 2024 Jayden Daniels (47+148=195). Daniels had 4+35 more in the playoffs, so 234 over 20 games is pretty wild. That will catch up to him.
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I will have to find the stat, but I know Daniels was in the top 10 for throwing to his first read and he was #1 in scrambling under pressure. So those sort of lend themselves to the fact that he would throw to his first read or run majority of the time. Not always, but he did one of those two things a lot.
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It is a great question, he did pretty well with Kyler, who peaked in years 2 and 3 in that offense, then the wheels came off in Year 4.
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I agree on Fields. I think it has to do with just taking what the defense gave them. I know he averaged fewer intended air yards than Caleb did per throw, so he had a lot of short passes.