adam

The Indy player connection is an interesting data point.

Listen, I want them to win, on paper it looks like things are headed in the right direction, but there has been nothing on the field to suggest the team is any better now than it was in Nagy's last season. Under the new GM and HC, the Bears are 3-16, and will more than likely be 3-17 with 13 straight losses. The roster has been turned over, so we should start seeing the results. First two games, sure, call them preseason games, but now into Week 3, with all those live reps and several weeks of prep, the players should be in a groove and clicking. If they look bad against KC again, then I don't know if they can turn things around. Again, even in a loss, just look better, be competitive. Claypool has all the physical tools to dominate, but he plays soft for some reason. There are two WRs with his physical numbers, Megatron and Claypool. He has to unlock that somehow.

I think Poles is better than Pace, and I said he was trending towards Pace. I was referring to guys that don't stick to BPA. If you look back at all the picks, which the team has full control over, Gordon and Brisker would not have been the first 2 picks if you were going BPA. Velus absolutely would not have been a 3rd rounder, 5th, ok, but 3rd was a reach and ultimately a wasted pick. This year, the trade was a no-brainer if you didn't like the QBs. CAR didn't give up Burns or a 3rd first for a pretty big jump to the 1st overall pick. Getting Moore, an extra 1st and an extra 2nd was an easy trade. Then with a chance to draft Carter, who was arguably the #1 talent in the draft, you move down one stop to take a RT. Wright is solid and I like the pick, but don't love it. Then he goes CB, DL, DL with the next 3. So in Poles first 2 drafts his top 6 guys were Gordon, Brisker, Velus, Wright, Stevenson, Dexter, Pickens Instead of Brisker/Gordon, there were options like Pickens - WR, Ingram - G, Fortner - G, Petit-Frere - OT, then in the 3rd, instead of Velus, you could've picked Abraham - OL, Jones - CB, or Parham - OL. 5 OL options, all were there, but he went DB, DB, KR. Something like Pickens, Abraham, Jones would've been a great top 3 (WR, OL, CB) covered. This is not revisionist history, these guys were on the board and highly rated. Then in 2023, there was the trade for Moore, which was fine, but then if he drafted at least one OL in 2022, maybe he feels better going with Carter this year. Then after Carter, depending on if you addressed WR in 2022, you could go with Marvin Mims, Rashee Rice, or John Michael Schmitz (was drafted after Stevenson and Dexter) who most of us wanted. For the DL, I would've been happier with Carter vs Dexter/Pickens, on the OLine, JMS + any OL listed in 2022 would be better than Wright alone. Getting Pickens or one of the 2023 WRs would be better than Velus. So Carter, JMS, Rice or Mims, and Puka Nacua. Can you imagine a WR Room with Moore, Pickens, Nacua, Mooney, and Rice? Outside of Nacua, all the other picks were there when the Bears drafted. Again, it's apple to oranges at this point. You can't change anything but when assessing a GMs performance, you have to look back and see what the baseline would've been.

Really? I can't even think of another scenario that would garner that type of response from the team.

That is a fair assessment. The problem I see is that the Bears hire too many GMs that think they are the smartest guy in the room. Pace was that way. Trubisky, Shaheen, etc. For Poles, he is trending that way too, Velus and passing on Carter. We need talent evaluators at all levels. Then the coaches lately are the typical football coach. Nagy was the prototypical younger offensive coach working for a great HC. Flus comes in as the older throwback coach that wins with defense and rushing. They then hire Getsy as the popular OC hire and the schemes with the players they have are like a square peg in a round hole. It doesn't work. Too many clashing concepts. Fields is a game breaker, you take the good with the bad, but you don't bridle him, just let him play street ball inside of a loose structure of an offense.

I still think my original theory has some legs: 1. The Bears were planning to fire Williams, told him, he said F'it I am going home, he goes and lawyers up, they direct him to resign, he resigns, lawyer makes public statement refuting other claims. That is why everyone on the Bears are so tight-lipped about it, because there could be legal charges against them. Other theories I have seen: 2. Prescription narcotics/Drug problem 3. Gambling/betting on Bears games 4. Williams was about to come out as a Tranny or any LBGTQ+ and has AIDS 5. Domestic Problem/Affair/Sugar Momma 6. A very personal health issue, erectile dysfunction 7. Mental Health issue, suicidal

Underdogs -10 or more on the road are like 1-17 in the last 18 games. That's about a 5% chance, so you're saying there is a chance? Home dogs win much more frequently.

Not that I don't care about Williams, but at this point, he is no longer on the team, I wish him well unless he is a criminal, then I retract my wish. I just hope all of this hasn't been a distraction and they don't get blown out really bad in KC on Sunday. At this point, every worst outcome has almost occurred. Injuries to O-Line and secondary, probably the thinnest groups to start the year; Fields not playing well; the defense missing sacks and dropping INTs, coaching changes in the first 2 weeks of the season; media spotlight looks like it is getting to some of the players; Velus still hasn't done anything; Foreman was a healthy scratch (why did you sign him?); and now you are on the road at the Super Bowl champs house with a super annoying QB wife and brother.

Getsy has had Fields for two full offseasons, the entire season last years, and now 2 more regular season games this year. So it's not like it is just two games. Fields has been afforded a lot of time to progress (20+ months) and the eye test says he has actually regressed. That stretch he had in the middle of last season was strictly his elite athleticism and nothing related to his development as a QB. So I think it masked some sentiments about him. No one wants him to fail, the Bears fans have been through enough, we are mentally exhausted with the revolving door at QB, OC, DC, HC, GM, etc, etc. However, that doesn't make up for what we see and what his stats say. They match. That is not good. I really hope whatever needs to click, clicks. Even a loss in KC, which is expected, is fine, as long as the offense looks better and the team is competitive. The playoffs are already a longshot starting 0-2, and at 0-3 near impossible, so if you lower the expectations back to 7 wins, it looks more achievable to go 7-7 the rest of the way after 0-3. The only way they are going to get there is if Fields improves.

Purdy threw for 310 yards, but he didn't look particularly good. It makes it much easier when you are throwing to McCaffrey, Deebo, and Kittle. Aiyuk didn't even play.

This is the account on Twitter that also broke the news on the raids. Who know is this guy is full of shit.

I am sure people will read this and be like Adam, "your" dumb, yards don't mean anything. There are too many yards in garbage time, good teams get the lead then coast, etc, etc. Checks 2022 stats" #1 Team Offense - KC, #2 Team Offense - PHI. Both played in SB and had the best two records in the NFL. Of the top 10 offensive teams in 2022, 9 teams made the playoffs, and DET missed the playoffs by a tiebreaker. All 10 had winning records. Of the bottom 14 teams for offensive yardage, 0 made the playoffs. 5 teams from 11-18th (5/8). The lowest offense to make the playoffs was 18th. Improving the offense is pivotal for the Bears. This with other data shows that you need at least a league average offense to make the playoffs. On defense, the top is not as important as the bottom. In general, defensive performance correlated less with overall performance than the offense. 7 of the top 12 made the playoffs. Of the bottom 12, 4 (MIN, SEA, NYG, JAX) of the bottom 12 made the playoffs. So that is good news for the Bears, they don't necessarily need a top 10 defense to compete but it doesn't hurt. So going back to my earlier post, these teams are screwed unless they turn it around quick on offense: CIN - 222 (0-2) LVR - 250 (1-1) NYJ - 273 (1-1) PIT - 275 (1-1) CAR - 276 (0-2) GB - 286 (1-1)

Probably all of the above, and they have played really bad on all accounts, so if this is rock bottom, and they can only improve (unlock Fields, defense gels), this team may end of middle of the pack across the board AND GB may not be as good as the media is making them out to be. I mean, they only beat the Bears, lol.

So looking thru team stats, I noticed a few things. First, the Bears team is not as bad as I thought. I figured that they were bottom 5 on offense and the defense was bottom 2. So for offensive yardage, the Bears are 24th overall, Passing yards - 20th, Rushing yards - 22nd. Defense is 29th overall, Passing yards - 27th, Rushing yards - 16th. So on offense, I didn't expect the passing yards to be that good, but expected rushing to be much better. On defense, I thought passing was going to be worse and was shocked the rushing defense was that good. There are many ways to take this, but when I looked at the rest of the league, it made some sense. Here are the teams that average less than 300 yards a game: CIN - 222 * LVR - 250 * NYJ - 273 PIT - 275 CAR - 276 GB - 286 * Of those bottom 6 teams, 3 teams averaged less than 200 yds passing AND 100 yds rushing (with asterisks). Those are some bad offenses. Then onto defenses with 375 or more yards allowed: LAC - 438 (-24) SEA - 422 (-136) PIT - 399 (-124) CHI - 383 (-75) CIN - 282 ~ (-60) GB - 382 ~ (-96) PHI - 378 (-18) Two teams showed up on both lists, CIN and GB. So GB is 1-1 yet they have a -96 yard differential and technically have a bad offense and bad defense. SEA, PIT, and GB are all fool's gold right now, yet all 3 teams are 1-1. Expect them to struggle over the next few weeks.

Some milestones: Mooney needs 46 yards to pass Earl Bennett for 26th all-time for the Bears. Moore is tied with Garrett Wolfe with 129 receiving yards, 243rd in franchise history. Fields needs 58 yards rushing yds to pass Rashaan Salaam for 25th all-time for the Bears. Kmet needs 42 yards to pass Ryan Wetnight for 50th on the Bears All-time Receiving Yards. Santos needs 8 FGs to pass George Blanda for 6th on the Bears All-time FG list. Jackson's next INT will tie him with Doug Plank with 15 INTs (T-33rd) Edmunds is tied for 220th on the Bears all-time tackles list, he needs only 1,032 to pass Brian Urlacher for 1st all-time.

If Kelce is healthy, he will have over 10 receptions for over 100 yards, all first down catches and 2 TDs. Mahomes will at least run one in and throw for 4. Against GB, our defense showed that you don't need good receivers to beat the Bears. On defense, Jones dominates good opponents, he is going to make the interior of the line look like a turnstile. I would almost expect the Bears to get the ball first, drive down and score a TD. We will all get our hopes up, then KC will smash them for 3.5 quarters and then the Bears will get a late score to pad the score. In the same losing streak, the Bears have allowed 25+ in EVERY game. Before that they held 4 out of 6 to 20 or less (Roquan and Quinn). It is wild to think that they traded away Roquan and Quinn and since that point they have not won or allowed less than 25 pts per game. The offense also has 9 straight with 24 or less.

Oh, I didn't see the disclaimers. When he said it, he said it was his source. So I was assuming someone employed by his team. Now that Williams is no longer an employee, the Bears technically cannot speak about Williams, especially if there is any type of pending litigation. I still feel like there is something fishy going on. My own theory stands: they told him he was going to be fired, he said screw that, I am taking a leave of absence, got legal counsel, and then resigned. Now he is probably looking at ways to get compensation from the team thru legal means.

For Poles, he will get a 3rd year, and maybe more if they draft a QB in 2024. I really think that is what they are doing. I know they say they are all in on Fields, but I really think they are setting him up for failure, in doing so, they will lose games, get a better draft pick, then next year, if they improve, they can point to Fields being the problem. Fields is not a Poles draft pick, and the rookie QB timeline is off with the reset. Preferably you would want a rookie this year or next year and get 5 years out of them 2-3 years into the rebuild.

I was comparing where Fields was at in his career compared to other QBs, he is a perfect match for Blaine Gabbert even statistically, but then I saw the records happen to be the same right now and they were tied for the worst and if Fields loses again, he will own the crown.

Yeah, it just shows how bad this team really is, historically bad. The numbers don't lie. Allen was close to Fields up until his 3rd year, that's when he broke out. Fields has not (yet). Hopefully he will soon.

My original projection was 52-3, but if Fields does play looser, I can see them putting up a few scores. So I will adjust my projection to 45-17 Chiefs.

Pat McAfee said that he has a source that said the FBI did raid Alan Williams house. That is why some of the tweets that came out only mentioned Halas Hall not being raided. Ian said Peanut is not involved "in THIS matter". What matter? I thought there was no matter?

On Sunday, Fields will make his 28th career start. No QB in NFL history would have more starts and fewer wins than him. Right now he is tied with Blaine Gabbert for the worst start at 5-22-0 (.185), a loss on Sunday would put Fields at the bottom 5-23-0 (.179), no QB in NFL history would be worse. Interestingly, Davis Mills was 5-20-1 at 26 starts, but is no longer starting. If Fields gets a win, he would then move into a group with one other QB: Mike Glennon 6-25 in 31 starts (.193) There is only one QB with 7 wins with so few starts: Randy Wright 7-25 in 32 starts (.219) One QB with 8 wins: Dennis Shaw 8-27-2 in 37 starts (.243) Two QBs with 9 wins: Joe Pisarcik 9-21 in 30 starts (.300) Steve Pelluer 9-20-1 in 30 starts (.317) and one QB with 10 wins: JP Losman 10-23 in 33 starts (.303) - Fields would have to win his next 5 games just to tie Losman as the 6th worst QB Winning% of all time.

If they move Wright, they are reaching and trying to save their jobs. I agree that Wright just needs to stay put. Sucks that 2/5 of the line is on IR and they are still dealing with Davis. Poles has to be held accountable for this. Jenkins was always an injury risk, you always have to expect injuries (Jones), and why take the risk of someone like Davis when there were other more stable options out there?

They also need to stretch the defense out. Against TB, I saw 8 to 9 players in the box, sometimes 10, but some of that was due to the Bears formations. Spread them out, go 4-wide even if it is with a RB or TE that goes in motion to the outside. Leave the remaining RB or TE in to chip then become a check down. This gives Fields more room to run if needed and forces the defense into a predictable defensive formation. This would also help the run game with some draws or wide zone. I haven't seen any of this. After watching a bunch of other games, the Bears rarely throw any short quick passes (stick, dig, curl, etc) where the receiver runs 5-7 yards then just faces and the QB shielding the ball from the defender. If they sell a deep route and the defender starts turning their hips, this is an easy pitch and catch scenario that I see 10+ times a game in every other offense but the Bears.