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adam

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Everything posted by adam

  1. Yeah, I am sticking with my prediction, SF 23-20. SF slows the game down and takes the ball out of Mahomes' hands for most of the game.
  2. That's not starter money. Just a depth/developmental piece.
  3. In terms of luck, Mahomes throws up a lot of deep balls that his receivers make ridiculous catches on. He seems to also get the benefit of the doubt on a lot of missed holding calls, similar to Rodgers. For production of skill players, Kelce and Hill are still All-Pros outside of KC and Mahomes. If you need a comparison, just look at what Matt Moore did when Mahomes was out, his comp% was within a point, his QB Rating was 100.9 to Mahomes 105.3 and he had 4 TDs to 0 INTs, a better ratio than Mahomes did. Mahomes only had 26 TDs this year, compared to 50 in 2018. They get a lot of explosive pass plays, which pads the numbers a lot. In comparison the Bears were the worst team in explosive plays in 2019: https://www.sharpfootballstats.com/explosive-play-rankings--off-.html To me this was our biggest weakness, with the run or the pass, we were 31st in explosive runs and explosive passes. Interestingly enough, SF is 2nd in the league in explosive plays they were #1 in explosive passes and 7th in runs. Baltimore led the league and Tennessee was 3rd, followed by Dallas and Seattle. Dallas was the only non-playoff team. That is what we were missing. I don't think they were intentionally hiding Jimmy G, I just think that Shanahan is a great coach and has a feel for the game. There was no need to pass when they couldn't stop the run. It burns more clock and there is less chance of a turnover. If SF can limit the explosive plays, KC's offense shuts down. They live off of those. Based on what SF has done to most teams this year and with the extra week of rest (defenders seem to need more), I think they win. Now if they let up a few big plays, especially ones that go the distance, I could see KC winning. To me that's the game (SF wins if they limit big plays, KC wins if they get 2-3 big plays).
  4. Another option for the QB/TE duo is Newton/Olsen. Cam is only 30, while Olsen should have a good year or two left at 35. With all the madness going on in Carolina, who knows if Cam will be there in 2020. What do you think? Cam would add some character to the locker room and Olsen can retire as a Bear.
  5. I don't mind SF winning as they are less related to the Bears than KC is. It would be a plus to see Gould kick a GW FG in the SB, he deserves it. Lynch picked Solomon Thomas at #3 and also passed on Mahomes and Watson, then even traded away the pick that the Saints used on Kamara, so that storyline is fairly weak. Mostert is on his 7th team at 27 yrs old. That is the Shanahan zone blocking scheme at work that has produced a ton of 1,000 yard backs. I could care less about Mostert. Now for KC, I don't want them to win. Hill should not even be playing in the league, and Mahomes is as lucky as he is good. Eventually, that will catch up with him. I do not want to see Mahomes win a SB. If he doesn't get one before his rookie contract ends, he may never get one. It looks like he is set to make $40M a year, which would be insane but justified. However, you have to take away 3-4 high end starters off the team to make that fit in the cap. So if they can win like that fine, but I don't want to see them win when he is under his rookie deal. Reid is a good coach, but it helps having good players. It's not like he is getting to Super Bowls with duds. Also, SF will more than likely win with rushing and defense (the way it should be). That would be cool to see that win out over KC's out score you mode, even though the high scoring games are exciting, it does get a little old when teams just go down and score every drive without any defensive resistance. Lastly, wouldn't it be awesome if Mahomes completely blew it in the Super Bowl? I doubt it happens, but that would be the best storyline. Mahomes chokes and hands SF the SB on a Gould GW, SF 23-20.
  6. It will be curious to see the type of contract he gets. That will determine how the team views him (as a starter = goodbye Prince, or as a backup). Apparently he was on the Vikings Practice Squad before going to the CFL. Overall, I like the move, just as long as we didn't overpay.
  7. adam

    2nd Round Mocks

    I can picture this, too funny. Your dedication is admirable.
  8. adam

    2nd Round Mocks

    Mongo, My thought process on the speedy receiver is that you won't have time to hit him deep if you don't fix the OLine. Also, Trubisky's deep ball accuracy is questionable, so would that WR even get that many chances? That is why I was leaning TE early. We had the lowest production from our TE's in the entire league. Our leading TE had 14 receptions on the year, the leading yardage was 91, and the group totaled 2 TDs. They were historically bad. Over anything else, one characteristic of both teams in the SB are their elite TEs (Kittle and Kelce). For me, if you had two equally rated players in the 2nd round, one a speedy WR and another a TE, I would go for the TE. Now, I am all for getting one in the draft, just not in the 2nd round.
  9. adam

    2nd Round Mocks

    Here is one from Walter Football: 43. Chicago Bears: Terrell Lewis, DE/OLB, Alabama The Bears need some edge-rushing depth, especially considering that Leonard Floyd will be entering free agency soon. Terrell Lewis was once a staple of my 2019 NFL Mock Draft, but he returned to school after an injury-plagued 2018 campaign. 50. Chicago Bears: Jalen Reagor, WR, TCU The Bears could add another receiver to start across from Allen Robinson. Jalen Reagor is a blazing-fast receiver who can go the distance whenever he touches the ball. So Edge and WR? Lewis was ranked #49 in Jeremiah's top 50, and Reagor was not listed. I understand the thought process, but we seem to have bigger holes to fill than Edge and WR. To me, TE and OL, and even SS seem higher.
  10. adam

    Draft Game...

    If you get silly with trades, there is endless fun. Your score is: 38184 (GRADE: A-) Your Picks: Round 2 Pick 24 (MIA): Brycen Hopkins, TE, Purdue (A-) Round 3 Pick 1 (CINN): Darryl Williams, C/OG, Mississippi State (A) Round 3 Pick 8 (ARI): Anthony Gordon, QB, Washington State (A-) Round 3 Pick 12 (T.B.): Antoine Winfield Jr., FS/SS, Minnesota (A-) Round 4 Pick 1 (CINN): Calvin Throckmorton, OT, Oregon (A+) Round 4 Pick 8 (ARI): Lloyd Cushenberry III, C, LSU (A+) Round 4 Pick 41 (COMP): Antonio Gandy-Golden, WR, Liberty (A+) Round 4 Pick 43 (PHI): Ben Bartch, OT, St. John's (A+) Round 5 Pick 13: DeMarkus Acy, CB, Missouri (A+) Round 5 Pick 19 (JAX): KJ Hill, WR, Ohio State (A+) Round 6 Pick 10 (JAX): Harrison Bryant, TE, Florida Atlantic (A+) Round 6 Pick 17: Jeffrey McCulloch, OLB, Texas (A+) Round 6 Pick 21: Corey Bethley, DT, TCU (A+) Round 6 Pick 27 (JAX): AJ Green, CB, Oklahoma State (A+) Round 7 Pick 19: Denzel Mims, WR, Baylor (A+)
  11. adam

    Draft Game...

    I did another, focusing on OT early, no trades: Your score is: 34297 (GRADE: B+) Your Picks: Round 2 Pick 11: Mekhi Becton, OT, Louisville (A) Round 2 Pick 18: Brycen Hopkins, TE, Purdue (B+) Round 4 Pick 41 (COMP): Jon Runyan, OG, Michigan (A+) Round 5 Pick 13: Jordan Fuller, FS/SS, Ohio State (A+) Round 5 Pick 17: Jeffrey McCulloch, OLB, Texas (A+) Round 6 Pick 17: Anthony McFarland, RB, Maryland (A+) Round 6 Pick 21: Evan Weaver, ILB, California (A+) Round 7 Pick 19: Denzel Mims, WR, Baylor (A+) I addressed OT, OG, TE on offense, with some depth picks at RB and WR. On defense, I addressed SS, OLB, and depth at ILB. My assumptions were that the Bears re-signed both KPL and Kwit for ILB, so we only need one there. I just didn't have a chance to pick up a CB of value with the way the draft played out.
  12. adam

    Draft Game...

    There are a bunch of bloodline picks in this draft.
  13. adam

    Draft Game...

    Yeah, it was weird, I was trying to get one early, but based on their ratings, there was not one to justify selecting when my pick was up. Every pick was BPA, but I was at least trying to get it in a need area. The DTs were the only ones true BPA as they were rated way higher than the pick, same with Mims at the end. Mims and Wims for the wins!
  14. adam

    Draft Game...

    Here is my most recent one. I did a couple of trade downs with realistic teams (not from our Division). Your score is: 34941 (GRADE: B+) Your Picks: Round 2 Pick 16 (NYJ): Albert Okwuegbunam, TE, Missouri (A+) Round 2 Pick 18: AJ Terrell, CB, Clemson (A-) Round 3 Pick 28 (BALT): Brandon Jones, FS/SS, Texas (A) Round 4 Pick 17 (DAL): Jon Runyan, OG, Michigan (A+) Round 4 Pick 28 (BALT): Jake Hanson, C, Oregon (A+) Round 4 Pick 33 (BALT): Britain Covey, WR, Utah (A+) Round 4 Pick 41 (COMP): Josh Kaindoh, DE/OLB, Florida State (A+) Round 5 Pick 13: Anthony McFarland, RB, Maryland (A) Round 5 Pick 17: Jordan Fuller, FS/SS, Ohio State (A+) Round 6 Pick 17: Benito Jones, DT, Mississippi (A+) Round 6 Pick 21: Corey Bethley, DT, TCU (A+) Round 7 Pick 19: Denzel Mims, WR, Baylor (A+)
  15. adam

    Senior Bowl

    Some standouts that should be available after the 1st round: 1. TE - Jared Pinkney - Vanderbilt 2. QB - Anthony Gordon, Washington State; Jordan Love, Utah State 3. EDGE - Alton Robinson, Syracuse; Bradlee Anae, Utah; Terrell Lewis, Alabama 4. WR - K.J. Hill, Ohio State; James Proche, SMU; Van Jefferson, Florida 5. OL - Damien Lewis, LSU; Matt Hennessy, Temple Adam Trautman (TE, Dayton) was listed as a top performer, but after seeing some of his full tape, he would only be a better blocking version of Shaheen and maybe a little more athletic, but not much. Otherwise, there are a lot of mid-round guys that have the potential to contribute right away. I hope Pace trades down on at least one of the 2nd rounders to pick up another mid-round pick. I would rather have a couple extra darts and hit on as many positional groups as possible.
  16. Shaheen is a goner. Burton may hang around with his contract. It makes more sense to bring in a rookie to develop than to go for more older players unless the Bears feel like their current window is closing, then they would go all in for 2020. Then Ebron would make more sense.
  17. At 6'2", 221, he is more Montgomery than he is Cohen. I am not opposed to adding another RB, Whyte seemed like the perfect candidate, he would be a special teamer and someone with speed on offense. Cohen regressed a lot this year. Hopefully he corrects whatever the hell is going on with him in the upcoming season. He had two stellar years followed by a stinker. If he gets back to the old Cohen, I think we will be ok.
  18. adam

    Chuck Pagano

    Yeah, I would rather go with KPL than Floyd. KPL seems to be better all-around than Floyd, and he will be cheaper. You can then pair Smith with Kwit for the inside.
  19. adam

    Senior Bowl

    Oh man, I had just seen a few highlight tapes of him. Check out the play at the goal line at 5:10. It's that option toss to the TE as they are crossing the LOS. He literally has to gain one yard against a tiny DB and he gets taken down. If he kept his head up, there was a huge hole to his left. Terrible. He does seem to be a better blocker than Shaheen and a little more athletic in general, but not someone you use a 2nd round pick on. God no Pace, don't do it!
  20. adam

    Senior Bowl

    Yeah I agree. I heard on a Podcast that 1/3 of all the Bears draft picks played in the Senior Bowl. So if that holds true, we will be selected 2-3 of these guys this year.
  21. adam

    Senior Bowl

    I am hearing reports that Bears scouts are really hard and heavy on the Offensive Linemen. They are also looking at TE, Adam Trautman, from Dayton. Just looking at his tape, he is nothing like Shaheen, way more athletic and a better blocker. He is who we wanted Shaheen to be. http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap3000001098624/article/2020-senior-bowl-day-2-justin-herbert-sizzles-bears-eye-te The Bears also met with Purdue tight end Brycen Hopkins and Vanderbilt’s Jared Pinkney earlier this week.
  22. adam

    Lost Post

    I know, crazy guys I tell you.
  23. adam

    Lost Post

    Yeah, sorry, had to. I just copied a previous quote from another thread so the time stamp was different.
  24. adam

    Shrine Bowl Visits

    Gabriel is gone. We definitely need more speed, but if the QB can't hit him in stride, no one will honor the threat.
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