adam

Purdy threw for 310 yards, but he didn't look particularly good. It makes it much easier when you are throwing to McCaffrey, Deebo, and Kittle. Aiyuk didn't even play.

This is the account on Twitter that also broke the news on the raids. Who know is this guy is full of shit.

I am sure people will read this and be like Adam, "your" dumb, yards don't mean anything. There are too many yards in garbage time, good teams get the lead then coast, etc, etc. Checks 2022 stats" #1 Team Offense - KC, #2 Team Offense - PHI. Both played in SB and had the best two records in the NFL. Of the top 10 offensive teams in 2022, 9 teams made the playoffs, and DET missed the playoffs by a tiebreaker. All 10 had winning records. Of the bottom 14 teams for offensive yardage, 0 made the playoffs. 5 teams from 11-18th (5/8). The lowest offense to make the playoffs was 18th. Improving the offense is pivotal for the Bears. This with other data shows that you need at least a league average offense to make the playoffs. On defense, the top is not as important as the bottom. In general, defensive performance correlated less with overall performance than the offense. 7 of the top 12 made the playoffs. Of the bottom 12, 4 (MIN, SEA, NYG, JAX) of the bottom 12 made the playoffs. So that is good news for the Bears, they don't necessarily need a top 10 defense to compete but it doesn't hurt. So going back to my earlier post, these teams are screwed unless they turn it around quick on offense: CIN - 222 (0-2) LVR - 250 (1-1) NYJ - 273 (1-1) PIT - 275 (1-1) CAR - 276 (0-2) GB - 286 (1-1)

Probably all of the above, and they have played really bad on all accounts, so if this is rock bottom, and they can only improve (unlock Fields, defense gels), this team may end of middle of the pack across the board AND GB may not be as good as the media is making them out to be. I mean, they only beat the Bears, lol.

So looking thru team stats, I noticed a few things. First, the Bears team is not as bad as I thought. I figured that they were bottom 5 on offense and the defense was bottom 2. So for offensive yardage, the Bears are 24th overall, Passing yards - 20th, Rushing yards - 22nd. Defense is 29th overall, Passing yards - 27th, Rushing yards - 16th. So on offense, I didn't expect the passing yards to be that good, but expected rushing to be much better. On defense, I thought passing was going to be worse and was shocked the rushing defense was that good. There are many ways to take this, but when I looked at the rest of the league, it made some sense. Here are the teams that average less than 300 yards a game: CIN - 222 * LVR - 250 * NYJ - 273 PIT - 275 CAR - 276 GB - 286 * Of those bottom 6 teams, 3 teams averaged less than 200 yds passing AND 100 yds rushing (with asterisks). Those are some bad offenses. Then onto defenses with 375 or more yards allowed: LAC - 438 (-24) SEA - 422 (-136) PIT - 399 (-124) CHI - 383 (-75) CIN - 282 ~ (-60) GB - 382 ~ (-96) PHI - 378 (-18) Two teams showed up on both lists, CIN and GB. So GB is 1-1 yet they have a -96 yard differential and technically have a bad offense and bad defense. SEA, PIT, and GB are all fool's gold right now, yet all 3 teams are 1-1. Expect them to struggle over the next few weeks.

Some milestones: Mooney needs 46 yards to pass Earl Bennett for 26th all-time for the Bears. Moore is tied with Garrett Wolfe with 129 receiving yards, 243rd in franchise history. Fields needs 58 yards rushing yds to pass Rashaan Salaam for 25th all-time for the Bears. Kmet needs 42 yards to pass Ryan Wetnight for 50th on the Bears All-time Receiving Yards. Santos needs 8 FGs to pass George Blanda for 6th on the Bears All-time FG list. Jackson's next INT will tie him with Doug Plank with 15 INTs (T-33rd) Edmunds is tied for 220th on the Bears all-time tackles list, he needs only 1,032 to pass Brian Urlacher for 1st all-time.

If Kelce is healthy, he will have over 10 receptions for over 100 yards, all first down catches and 2 TDs. Mahomes will at least run one in and throw for 4. Against GB, our defense showed that you don't need good receivers to beat the Bears. On defense, Jones dominates good opponents, he is going to make the interior of the line look like a turnstile. I would almost expect the Bears to get the ball first, drive down and score a TD. We will all get our hopes up, then KC will smash them for 3.5 quarters and then the Bears will get a late score to pad the score. In the same losing streak, the Bears have allowed 25+ in EVERY game. Before that they held 4 out of 6 to 20 or less (Roquan and Quinn). It is wild to think that they traded away Roquan and Quinn and since that point they have not won or allowed less than 25 pts per game. The offense also has 9 straight with 24 or less.

Oh, I didn't see the disclaimers. When he said it, he said it was his source. So I was assuming someone employed by his team. Now that Williams is no longer an employee, the Bears technically cannot speak about Williams, especially if there is any type of pending litigation. I still feel like there is something fishy going on. My own theory stands: they told him he was going to be fired, he said screw that, I am taking a leave of absence, got legal counsel, and then resigned. Now he is probably looking at ways to get compensation from the team thru legal means.

For Poles, he will get a 3rd year, and maybe more if they draft a QB in 2024. I really think that is what they are doing. I know they say they are all in on Fields, but I really think they are setting him up for failure, in doing so, they will lose games, get a better draft pick, then next year, if they improve, they can point to Fields being the problem. Fields is not a Poles draft pick, and the rookie QB timeline is off with the reset. Preferably you would want a rookie this year or next year and get 5 years out of them 2-3 years into the rebuild.

I was comparing where Fields was at in his career compared to other QBs, he is a perfect match for Blaine Gabbert even statistically, but then I saw the records happen to be the same right now and they were tied for the worst and if Fields loses again, he will own the crown.

Yeah, it just shows how bad this team really is, historically bad. The numbers don't lie. Allen was close to Fields up until his 3rd year, that's when he broke out. Fields has not (yet). Hopefully he will soon.

My original projection was 52-3, but if Fields does play looser, I can see them putting up a few scores. So I will adjust my projection to 45-17 Chiefs.

Pat McAfee said that he has a source that said the FBI did raid Alan Williams house. That is why some of the tweets that came out only mentioned Halas Hall not being raided. Ian said Peanut is not involved "in THIS matter". What matter? I thought there was no matter?

On Sunday, Fields will make his 28th career start. No QB in NFL history would have more starts and fewer wins than him. Right now he is tied with Blaine Gabbert for the worst start at 5-22-0 (.185), a loss on Sunday would put Fields at the bottom 5-23-0 (.179), no QB in NFL history would be worse. Interestingly, Davis Mills was 5-20-1 at 26 starts, but is no longer starting. If Fields gets a win, he would then move into a group with one other QB: Mike Glennon 6-25 in 31 starts (.193) There is only one QB with 7 wins with so few starts: Randy Wright 7-25 in 32 starts (.219) One QB with 8 wins: Dennis Shaw 8-27-2 in 37 starts (.243) Two QBs with 9 wins: Joe Pisarcik 9-21 in 30 starts (.300) Steve Pelluer 9-20-1 in 30 starts (.317) and one QB with 10 wins: JP Losman 10-23 in 33 starts (.303) - Fields would have to win his next 5 games just to tie Losman as the 6th worst QB Winning% of all time.

If they move Wright, they are reaching and trying to save their jobs. I agree that Wright just needs to stay put. Sucks that 2/5 of the line is on IR and they are still dealing with Davis. Poles has to be held accountable for this. Jenkins was always an injury risk, you always have to expect injuries (Jones), and why take the risk of someone like Davis when there were other more stable options out there?

They also need to stretch the defense out. Against TB, I saw 8 to 9 players in the box, sometimes 10, but some of that was due to the Bears formations. Spread them out, go 4-wide even if it is with a RB or TE that goes in motion to the outside. Leave the remaining RB or TE in to chip then become a check down. This gives Fields more room to run if needed and forces the defense into a predictable defensive formation. This would also help the run game with some draws or wide zone. I haven't seen any of this. After watching a bunch of other games, the Bears rarely throw any short quick passes (stick, dig, curl, etc) where the receiver runs 5-7 yards then just faces and the QB shielding the ball from the defender. If they sell a deep route and the defender starts turning their hips, this is an easy pitch and catch scenario that I see 10+ times a game in every other offense but the Bears.

The whole circumstance is very odd, and the process should be called into question more than what is going on with Williams himself. Where is the team's statement? Just stating that Williams resigned is not a statement. Why all the conflicting info? Ian Rappaport says he resigned in the morning, yet the Bears website says afternoon. Biggs says the media was told throughout the week that it was NOT health or family related. Then the statement comes out and says exactly that it was health and family related. Then a lawyer representing Williams comes out and makes a statement refuting some of the rumors going around. Why does Williams need a lawyer to do that? Why not just do it yourself? If the team allowed Williams to take off for personal reasons, why not just give him more time off, a month, etc? Just state that the team is allowing Williams to step away for awhile to take care of personal issues, but Williams will still be employed by the Bears. My suspicion is that the Bears told Williams he was going to be fired (probably Flus tipped him off), so he could resign or be fired. So he probably spent a week getting legal advice and reviewing his options before ultimately deciding to resign. So there may be a lawsuit against the Bears coming from Williams for breach of contract or something along those lines.

A lot of conflicting info. I think the raid tweet is fake. However, Biggs did say: What an absolute crazy situation.

Just let him go with left foot back. The biggest change that Fields simply cannot deal with is which foot start in back. He has been using his left foot back for his entire life and they recently made him swap. Why? Because as a right handed QB, once he receives the ball, he can immediately throw with the right foot back. He can't do that without one step the other way. Brady introduced this during the Edelman years on those instant bubble screens. Rodgers has been doing it for years, and now they want Fields to, when it's clearly not natural for him. That one change alone would help a ton. Check out this video from CHGO with Tim Jenkins (QB Guru) who outlines this in more detail. This is a great listen for those interested in the detailed nuances of QB play.

40% of starting O-Line on IR (Jenkins, Jones) and 40% of the starting secondary injured or on IR (Gordon, Jackson). Mooney dinged up, Claypool all over the place, Tonyan basically non-existent to this point. Teams get injuries, but now the Bears are up to 3x starters on IR (14%). Not good. LT is now Borom or they may slide Wright over there and put Borom in at RT. Either way, not ideal.

Mitch wasn't terrible, was actually pretty average. He probably should be a starter in the league, but maybe a bottom 10 QB. The way Pickett is playing, I am surprised they haven't went to Mitch yet.

Lance got a 4th round pick, I would think Fields has shown more and would get a 3rd. I doubt anyone gives up any more than that because of the cap hit and expiration of his rookie contract. Another interesting thing will be to see what they do about Fields 5th year option. They have to make that decision after this season.

Yeah, he bought into it after he was just initially brought in to promote it. PFF was started by a Brit (which is another reason it received so much flak) in the middle 2000s. Then team's bought in on the data, and Collinsworth eventually bought a majority stake in the company in the middle 2010s, a decade after it started. However, he was promoting it on telecasts long before he bought into it.

Very slick business model. Come out of nowhere and just start publishing player grades where everyone makes fun of you. Then bring on a reputable celeb, Cris Collinsworth, who then starts quoting your grades on broadcasts, then eventually the league basically recognizes your grading system and teams actually pay big bucks to view the data. Early on they were an absolute joke. Anyone who referenced PFF was like referencing Wikipedia as your source. So many of their grades are hilarious. Right now Adam Thielen has a better receiving grade than DJ Moore, JaMarr Chase, Calvin Ridley, George Pickens, Tee Higgins, Christian Kirk, Michael Pittman, and Terry McLaurin. I don't know if you watched the CAR game yesterday, but Thielen created negative separation with his routes. He literally ran into DBs and closed the gap before the pass. It was comical, it looked like he was running in quick sand.

DVOA for next few opponents: OVR/Off/Def KC 13/12/19 DEN 21/7/30 WAS 11/11/10 The Bears played the 7th best DVOA defense (TB) and 11th (GB), next up KC (19th), and DEN (30th). So we may see a slightly better performance from Fields and Co. the next few weeks. However, all 3 of the next 3 opponents are top 12 in offense, which is not a good sign for the defense. 8 of the 15 remaining games are against a DEF 20th or worse. WAS is the only current defense the Bears will face in the current top 10 for DVOA. So if we don't see an improvement on offense, especially in the next two weeks, we never will.