Bearstalk

If i was a GM of ANY team in the NFL, every year I would draft OL in the first round, DL in the second round and other needs in the rest of the rounds!

Warning Long Post Incoming I am starting to think Poles is just a very average GM that got lucky. Just think if the Bears didn't have the #1 pick in 2023? He picked Eberflus over a bunch of better options. There were all kinds of problems with other staff members and in less than 3 years, they are already on their 2nd OC, DC, RB Coach and a whole bunch of other coaching positions. He got rid of players like Montgomery who signed for less than the Bears paid Swift for and Monty is clearly the better RB. He let other players walk like Daniels only to pay someone like Davis. He replaced Mooney with Tyler Scott. He drafted Gill, to cut him and draft Taylor in…

So I have always liked QBR as a way to represent QB production over other methods. I just didn't know that it had such a strong correlation to wins. Looking over the first 3 weeks of the season, a team has at least an 80% chance of victory when their QBR is in the top 10. On the flip side, a team has over a 70% chance at a loss if they are in the bottom 10. The outliers are usually super close games. Purdy had the #6 QBR and lost 27-24 this week. In Week 2, Hurts had the #3 QBR and lost 22-21, Burrow lost 26-25, and Jones lost 21-18. 3 losses by 5 pts. In Week 1, Richardson had the #1 QBR and lost 29-27, and Murray had the #4 QBR and lost 34-28. On the low end…

Look at the top teams: PIT 3-0, Fields and Daniels leading the way SEA 3-0, Waldron leaves SEA and they get better MIN 3-0, Sam Darnold is QB1 and they are undefeated BUF 2-0, Trubisky as Scout QB leading the way PHI 2-1, got Barkley over Bears and fooled Bears into taking Swift. Jalen Carter over Darnell Wright. HOU 2-1, Bears could've drafted Stroud last year LAC 2-1, Harbaugh is their HC, winning without Allen NYJ 2-1, Rodgers still winning NO 2-1 - Lucas Patrick highest graded OL in NFL DET and GB 2-1 still beating the Bears

This is definitely a much better opponent for the Bears this early in the season. Indy is 0-2 and is the worst rush defense in the league by a pretty wide margin. They will also more than likely be without Buckner at DT. Richardson has connected on a few bombs but if the Bears take that away, he is prone to mistakes with 4 INTs on 53 attempts and only a 49% Comp%. If the Bears defense can stop Taylor and prevent anything to get behind them, this is a much more advantageous matchup than against HOU. I think this will be the best offensive output of the season for the Bears (so far), and the defense will play similarly than they have the last two weeks. Bear…

If the Bears remove the negative players, this offense will get going. Swift is historically bad and replacing him with a tackling dummy would be a positive at this point. The below are promising trends, now Williams just needs to cut down on the INTs and they will be cooking: Williams Yards 93 > 174 > 363 Comp% 48.3% > 62.2% > 63.5% Y/A 3.2 > 4.7 > 7.0 TD 0 > 0 > 2 INT 0 > 2 > 2 Sacks 2 > 7 > 4 Odunze Yards 11 > 33 > 112 Rec 1 > 2 > 6 TD 0 > 0 > 1 Kmet Yards 4 > 27 > 97 Rec 1 > 4 > 10 TD 0 > 0 > 1

I know I am concerned about the Bears offense, but league-wide, offensive numbers are down across the board. Check out some of these stats thru 2 weeks: 300-yard Passing Games thru 2 weeks: 2024: 5 2023: 13 2022: 13 2021: 21 2020: 16 2019: 20 2018: 19 2017: 13 2016: 20 Red zone passing TDs thru 2 weeks: 2024: 40 2023: 67 2022: 74 2021: 71 2020: 79 2019: 56 2018: 69 2017: 57 2016: 64 So as bad as Williams has been numbers-wise, they look a lot better considering what the rest of the league is doing too.

I have no idea why he was kept on the staff, but when every Offensive Lineman that leaves improves, there is only one common denominator. I wish this was satire, but somehow guys like Lucas Patrick (who was the worst OL player in the NFL last year magically becomes the best OG in the NFL in one offseason?). Cody Whitehair, who was relegated to the bench in Chicago, is a starting caliber player in LVR. James Daniels was expendable in Chicago and has been one of the cornerstone players on the Pittsburgh O-Line since he left. Cornelius Lucas who was a castoff on the Bears roster has been starting for several years in Washington and is a top 15 OT right now. Look at…

With us on the new server and new software - please let us know how it is working. If you are running into any issues let us know. My immediate reaction is wow is this site running fast. I also recognize we will have some hiccups as the dns propagates.

Prime Time Game, on the road. Hard to see anyway the Bears win this but Indy did give HOU fits all game and kept it close. I hope the defense can continue it's solid play but if they allowed 17 to TEN then that is probably high 20s to HOU. The offense has to play better all around. Stick to the run game, get Kmet involved, and more presnap motion. This was always a loss for me, so I will say HOU 27-20.

We drive down the field with no effective running game and Caleb doing great. Get to the red zone and run twice and then try a slow developing pass for a sack. Not ok.

Y'all remember when I told you to be aware of Terron Armstead? Skinny ankles is a recipe for missing games as an OL. Where's Jason? Yes, I'm drinking and Miami is done...

Placeholder for Week 1 - SEA (Waldron's offense) beat TEN in Week 16 last season 20-17 in TEN. Geno Smith was 25-36, 69.4%, 227 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT, 2 Sacks, 104.7 QB Rating. 18 receptions by WRs. SEA sacked TEN 6 times. TEN replaced Derrick Henry with Tony Pollard. If the Bears can stop Pollard, who is more of a dual threat than Henry, I think the Bears win handily.

I've been reading some articles by some naysayers who question the positive outlook many of us have for the Bears offense in 2024. After all, we got a new OC to replace the dumbass we had last year. We added dynamic skill players to our offense. So why are they so negative? Do they dislike the Bears? So, I did some fact-checking. Last year, the Bears offense ranked #18 in points scored (360). Where did Seattle rank? They were #17 (364). I know we have a dynamic set of skill players, but we also have a rookie quarterback. Geno Smith, Metcalf, & Lockett are certainly a good set of players. So should we be concerned that they, with our new OC, were basically tied wi…

Reminded me of the Cardinals game and Denny Green. All D/ST, with virtually no O.

Just like the anything comments thread, if you have something that is not worry of starting a new thread about, and it is related to free agency, the draft, or coaching changes, post it in here. This will be pinned at the top for easy access, twss.

I am really excited about this. The entire series is well put together and will go nicely with what the Bears already do with their 1920 stuff.

I don't really see a logical thread for tracking Williams progress. I'm was actually shocked as I read this. They certainly don't appear to be holding anything back with Williams. He's going to experience it all and that means they think he can handle it and they want him ready for anything in game 1. I figured first day in practice it's going to be kid gloves type of stuff like we've always seen before. There are more tidbits in the article that further highlight improvement with Williams since the OTAs. https://www.chicagobears.com/news/bears-training-camp-report-saturday-july-20-caleb-williams-offense-play-of-the-day-injury-health-update Rookie qua…

QB Caleb Williams WR DJ Moore TE Cole Kmet TE Marcedes Lewis LB T.J. Edwards LB Tremaine Edmunds CB Jaylon Johnson S Kevin Byard Good list - makes sense. The reason Im even posting is to comment on Mercedes Lewis being in there. At 40 years old, he still has some use in the red zone where he doesnt have to run 40 yards, and he is a good blocker. But there is a reason beyond those few snaps that we kept him and lost Bates to develop, and that he is a captain, even as a third string player. When Cole Kmet was asked who was the leader in the locker room, he said "Mercedes Lewis" - I dont know if his inspiration is strongly tied to his work ethic …

This one surprises me because I thought he was a lock. I guess with the Borom injury they need someone who can play OT as well, that seems to be Bill Murray.