adam

So many decisions, it is going to be crazy. The Bears record is going to be the biggest factor. If they somehow win out or even go 4-1 in their last 5. That would put them in the teens. That pick would not be as "tradeable" as the #1. So do you trade that pick to get another blue chip vet and an additional 2025 1st, or do you draft the QB or MHJ? Decisions decisions.

I would say at worst #2 and #8. At best #1 and #4. Most realistic #1 and #6.

Even with the Bears off, CAR plays TB, NE plays LAC, and NYJ plays ATL. 3 games with draft implications. CAR loss to TB solidifies the #1 pick while also helping with the Bears pick (TB gets another win). NE winning would be huge for the Bears, but even if LAC wins, that keeps the Bears actual pick in the top 8. An NYJ win would keep the Bears in the top 7. So if TB beats CAR, NYJ beats ATL, and LAC beats NE, the Bears would have a great shot at a top 6 pick. For the "in the hunt" crowd: SEA (6-5) is at DAL, GB (5-6) is playing KC, LAR (5-6) is playing CLE, and NO (5-6) is playing DET. So there is a chance that every team ahead of the Bears in the playoff picture that is playing could lose.

PFF Grades Top 5/Bottom 5 Offense: Moore 82.2, Jones 76.5, Jenkins 75.9, Kmet 75.4, Davis 71.3 Whitehair 37.7, Mooney 45.9, St. Brown 47.0, Patrick 49.4, Tonyan 49.7 Defense: Johnson 92.7, Edwards 80.8, Sweat 79.7, Brisker 74.9, Walker 74.6 Gordon 30.0, Dexter 36.4, Jones 46.6, Billings 51.8, Jackson 55.0

He is a terrible HC, but his defense is somehow working. Poles should get credit as the defense's worst starter is probably Justin Jones, and he is at least serviceable. If they can get an upgrade at DT, DE2, and at safety to replace Jackson, this defense should be top 10 across the board for the foreseeable future.

and there is something about his scrambling and runs this year. He is not being as elusive, he seems to be running right into guys without trying to juke them or anything. On the first fumble he ran straight into the guy instead of running to the right away from him. On the second one, it was a little harder as it was a sack, but he doesn't seem to have the same grip strength. At least he gets the bye to rest up for Detroit.

6 for 6 over 50 yards (3rd-T), 92.0% FG% (10th), 95.5% XP%, 9th in Touchbacks, has only missed 3 kicks all season out of 47. The Bears need to extend him.

Some fairly impressive numbers from the Bears defense. In general, they are clearly better than last year and have improved even more since players got healthy and the acquisition of Sweat. Both Sweat and Edwards are playing at Pro Bowl levels. #1 against the Run (79 yds/game) #3 Interceptions (13) #9 Total Yards Allowed (318 yds/game) #11 Turnovers (20) #16 Passes Defended (50) #19 Defensive DVOA (last season they finished #32) #22 against the Pass (248yds/game) TJ Edwards #2 in tackles (125), also has 2 sacks, 2 INT, and 1 FF Jaylon Johnson #7T in interceptions (3) Montez Sweat #12 in sacks (9), (4g, 2.5 sacks, 6 QB Hits, 2 TFL, team is allowing only 17.25 pts per game since his arrival.) Dexter looks to be improving with more snaps Brisker and Gordon are finally making plays Jackson is gone, he just floats deep in the secondary and is not worth the cap hit

Test #2 - Bears win, Fields leads GW drive, but caused them to need it. He had a 41.9 QBR and a 87.3 QB Rating. That is below average, and compared to what he did against DET, I would say he gets a C and this game does not count as a vote of confidence for him. He made a couple of plays but ultimately looked like he was playing not to lose. He didn't throw an INT, but had 2 fumbles, which are no different. He had 276 passing+rushing yards and 0 TDs. So it was definitely a meh game. Some positive notes: he improved game over game against what he did against MIN earlier in the season. He tied for a season high 37 pass attempts. He has gone 60 attempts without an INT, the 2nd longest stretch of his career. On a side note, it looks like his thumb is still bothering him. Weird parallels with the GB game to open the season for Fields, both games with 37 attempts, 216 yards against GB, 217 against MIN. Both games with 59 rushing yards.

Bears drafting 1 and 4, projected to draft 1 and 8. 7 teams have 4 wins, it looks like the Bears are now projected to win 6 games, which would drop them down to #8 as 7 teams are projected to have 5 wins or less. CAR plays 5 games against teams with a losing record. They are probably going to win one of those two against TB. ARI only plays the Bears and then 4 teams with winning records. So if they don't beat the Bears, they finish with 2 wins. NE plays two 4-win teams and 4 teams with winning records. So they will probably only win one. They scored 7 pts and lost to NYG. CHI plays ARI, two teams with losing records, and CLE who is on QB3. Odds are they win at least two. WAS plays NYJ and 4 teams with winning records. So they will probably only win one. NYG plays 3 teams with losing records and PHI twice. They will probably win one of those three. They barely beat NE 10-7. TB plays CAR twice and 3 other games against losing teams. They have the easiest schedule of the group and should win 3 of 6. NYJ plays NE and two other teams with losing records. They should win at least one of those. LAC plays NE and LVR, and 4 teams with winning records. I have them winning two. TEN has the toughest schedule of the group with 6 games against teams with winning records. I have them winning one of those games because they barely beat CAR 17-10.

If the Bears don't have meltdowns against DEN and DET, they are 6-6 going into the bye. Literally two plays away from 6-6. The narrative would be polar opposite right now.

Bears win, go to 4-8 and are still drafting #1 and #4.

The odds of the Bears messing that up was too high. Also, they needed to burn all the Vikings tickets and burn the clock.

Defense played great. Fields hand is clearly not healed. This is also one of those games that is really hard to use to evaluate Fields. He did lead a GW drive and closed out a game, even after back to back fumbles. However the only reason they were in that position was because of him lol.

37 yards in 2 minutes to get to the 25 yard line and a 42 yard kick. Only 27 yards needed for a 52 yarder. If they can't get that far.....

Send Bagent out there to win it

They drop enough, gotta take them when you can get them.

Fields on pace for 270 passing yards and 42 rushing yards. That would be 312 combined yards, which is higher than the best QB in the league for combined yards. He needs TDs, and sack avoidance. I hope he can keep the INT-less streak going (currently at 45 attempts).

This game is making that glaringly obvious. I can't believe he just blindly threw the ball into the chest of a huge DE. That is playing robotic.

We will find out after this season. Either Getsy is gone, Fields is gone, or both are gone. I doubt both will be back, unless the Bears win out. This is two weeks in a row where the defense is giving the offense the ball and they are not scoring or only getting FGs. Also, this is trending towards another game with a huge turnover margin and time of possession lead and a loss. Can they beat +3 and over 40 mins? Right now they are +2 and at 19:47.

They can't let the defense dictate the plays, that is tail between the legs play calling by Getsy. Does he not have any blitz beating plays? Everything can't be horizontal, they can easily rally to the ball. I am so confused by Getsy. Why stop what was working? Kmet had 6 targets on the 2 FG drives, none since, and the last 3 drives were punts. Roschon needs more touches too. Defense has played great again, but man, those penalties. Two on Gordon were weak. Santos misses a FG indoors?

First team to 20 wins.

There is one QB in the NFL that averages over 300 yards per game for passing+rushing yards. Stroud at 309. Of the notable QBs linked to Fields, Allen is at 293, Hurts at 282, Lawrence at 272, and Jackson at 266. Fields is at 245, but that does count the game he left early. So he would probably be slightly over 250 if he finished that game. He had 273 against the Lions, 339 against the Commanders and 360 against the Broncos (3 out of the last 4 games). So he is trending up.

and Fields leads the NFL in TD% at 6.5%, Allen is at 5.5% (7th), and Hurts at 5.0% (10th).

Ironically, Allen, Hurts and Fields have a very similar QB Rating: 95.8, 94.9, and 93.3 respectively (good for 11th, 12th, and 13th in the NFL this year). They are also very similar in Y/A, Hurts 7.5, Fields and Allen 7.4. Additionally, Hurts has 410 rushing yards, Allen has 342 and Fields has 341 (in 7g). Interestingly enough, Allen leads the NFL with 13 INTs (12g), Hurts has 10 (11g), and Fields has 6 (7g), so the rates (per game) are fairly the same as well. Outside of passing volume, one glaring difference, both BUF and PHI use their QBs as runners in the RZ. Hurts has 11 Rushing TDs, Allen has 9, and Fields has 1. Out of all the other stats, that one may be the biggest difference overall.