Bearstalk

Sorry, I haven't been on in a long while. I've been taking a break from a lot of on-line stuff, and also trying to balance my fandom of this confusing team. I'm going to bounce in and chime in every now and then. You are a bunch of great folk people here, and I miss the discussion. Forgive me, as I've toned down my passion in order to decrease stress in my life that is unneeded. So, my takes will be a little less angry or happy. I'm trying to approach fandom like Mr. Spock. Can't help that I'm a Bears fan (his human side), it's in the blood. But, I will try an approach it logically. Bear with me... All pun intended. Cheers!

If the Bears allowed 38 to Love/GB and 27 to Mayfield/TB, this has a 50 burger all over it. KC also held JAX to 9 points. KC 52-3 Fields by the numbers: 177 - Yards passing 23 - Yards rushing 12 - Screen passes 10 - Screen passes with terrible perimeter blocking 9 - Plays where Fields holds onto the ball too long on passes, missing open receivers who are clapping for the ball 8 - Sacks taken by Fields when he could either throw it away or evade the sack 3 - INT 2 - fumbles lost 1 - Pick-6 This will not be pretty, KC is a legit Super Bowl contender, and neither TB or GB are even playoff teams. I am not watching this one as w…

QB is crap. DL is crap. Nothing will change until both are fixed. Give Justin until week 8 to prove himself, then go to Bagent if he fails.

With the Bears having two 1st rounders in 2024, it will be interesting to follow the progress of those picks throughout the season. After Week 1, both CHI and CAR are 0-1, tied with 12 other teams (MIN is already 0-2). With only one week in the books, SOS is tied as every team that lost has faced a team that won. So both picks are between #2-#15. CHI @ TB (-2.5) CAR vs NO (-3)

https://apple.news/AGlvCusaJQkK0ufdmhWmqkw

https://www.profootballrumors.com/2023/09/bears-place-cb-kyler-gordon-on-ir

Fields has 17 games to prove that he is H1M. I feel like he needs to show that in at least 75% of the games, or show some progress in those games. Right now he is 0/1, 0.0% on the season. He still has a lot of season left, but getting down 0/2 would be a big hole to dig out from. Every game that he starts, he basically sets a new record of futility at that amount of games started.

Torn Achilles. At his age could be career ending. Regardless of what the Bears fan in me thinks about him it does suck to possibly end your career that way.

Would you rather have Velus Jones (WR), Claypool (WR), Wright (RT), and Dexter (DT) or Jalen Carter (DT), Rashee Rice (WR), Sam LaPorta (TE), and Abraham Lucas (RT)

Best on Offense: Lewis, Wright, and Johnson (Wright seems a little high, Johnson was the best player for sure) Best on Defense: Billings, Jackson, and Pickens (I don't buy the Jackson part, he got burned on a TD and looked like he was just running around in the secondary). Worst on Offense: Tonyan, Patrick, Claypool, Whitehair, and Davis (bad for Poles, 4 acquisitions underperforming) Worst on Defense: Green, Jones, and Edwards (that seems about right, Jones was terrible, they need to put Pickens or Dexter in there) So 7 of Poles free agent acquisitions in the last 2 years were in the bottom 8 in Week 1. Not good.

TB allowed the fewest rushing yards in Week 1. The Bears had the 6th most. TB's offense was not good, but they still won due to MIN turnovers. The turnover battle is going to be the key to victory. Both teams scored 20 pts, so that seems like a fair number for the winning team. With TB winning in Week 1, and Mayfield not throwing an INT, I think the Bears have a chance to win this one. They almost couldn't have played any worse than they did in Week 1. With KC looming in Week 3 as an auto loss, this really is an early season must win, now more than ever considering what happened on Sunday. If they don't wash that stink off now, I don't know if it…

Carolina has lost the first of its 17 games, dropping the opener 24-10 to the Atlanta Falcons. Every loss brings the Bears closer to draft Nirvana. I have a wish, and i think it has a good chance of happening, that we end up with the #1 pick AGAIN next year. Lets Go!

This might be my new found passion. So I see a link for a game preview for Bears - Packers here: https://www.playerprofiler.com/article/nfl-best-bets-week-1-2023/ They are obviously picking the Packers, on the Moneyline +100, which is fine. However, their reasoning is bassackwards. If they just said Aaron Jones and AJ Dillon will run over the Bears so Love can play game manager while the defense forces turnovers and good field position for a close win, I would be totally ok with that. Very reasonable. This however, is just plain dumb: In the article, they state: 1. "this Packers offense will be good enough to take advantage of a Bears defense that was…

So when you look at Fields career stats, they look terrible, historically bad from a passing perspective for a QB that has played in as many games as he has in his first two years. However, he had a 10-game stretch last season (decent sample size) which I think is his floor going into this year. That stretch was Week 4 to Week 14 last year, 10 games in a row that he played in. He only had one game below 50 yards rushing (47) and one game below 150 yards passing (123). Here are his totals: 147-229, 1751 yds, 64.2%, 13 TD, 6 INT, 116-905, 7 TD If you take those numbers, compute the per game average, then apply it to a full 17-game season, he would end up with…

So this is Year 2 for them. They seemed to get a pass for last year, but the record is the record, and Flus is the losing coach in franchise history right now (3-14). Assuming the Bears don't go 14-3, he is going to need a few winning seasons just to get to .500 as a coach. So if the Bears have another losing season, say 7-10, and he goes to 10-24 in his career, does he get a Year 3? For Getsy, the offense has not looked good, they brought in more of his guys (now have Patrick, ESB, Tonyan, and Lewis), added a first round tackle, a true WR1, and made the midseason trade for Claypool (WR2/3). They also cast off Mustipher. So if the offense struggles again, is it Field…

Fields' stats really got pounded by his rookie year with Nagy. That has skewed a lot of his career numbers and brought him down to Blaine Gabbert levels, when he should not even be used in the same sentence as Gabbert. There are several comps for Fields, but some easy ones are when Year 3 QBs get their true WR1s. In these cases, you can see the meteoric jump in stats. To make it easy, I just used QBR, which uses a collection of the normal stats to come up with one number. As you can see below, Josh Allen was a league average QB before Diggs arrived, Hurts was slightly above average before he got Brown, and Tua was slightly above league average before Hill came to to…

Record - 9-8 (I have been flipping flopping on this from 7 to 11 wins, but will stick with something in the middle. A few facts to consider, the Bears were 1-7 in one score games last year and lost a few in brutal fashion. If those games even out, the Bears are 6-10. Considering they have an easier schedule this year, that ups it to 7 wins. Then consider offensive improvement (Moore, Wright, etc) for 1 game, and defensive improvement (6 new starters) for 1 game, and you can get to 9 easily. Without any other factors considered, they are 9-8. MVP - Fields (Even if he improves as a passer due to Moore +, his legs are what make him special. That dual threat is hard for …

We made it! Week 1 is almost here. Are you ready for some football. This is one of those polarizing games where a win could propel the Bears to something big, but a loss at home to the Packer without Rodgers will be a tough loss to recover from. The Packers are 0-5 in any game where Love had 5 or more passing attempts. In the two games where he had substantial playing time, they lost both and he put up these total numbers: Totals - 29-51, 324 yds, 56.8%, 6.4 Y/A, 2 TD, 3 INT One game average - 14.5-25.5, 162 yds, 56.8%, 6.4 Y/A, 1 TD, 1.5 INT I could care less about preseason or how he has looked in practice. The above stats are who he is until he…

So I was looking up some stats and found a pretty wild one. There is one player in NFL history to have 5 INTs, 15 sacks, 20 PDs, and over 300 solo tackles in his first 3 seasons. He had 6 INTs, 18.5 sacks, 20 PDs, 306 solo tackles, plus 44 TFLs, 4 FF, and 5 FR, and 1 TD in his first 3 years. I was honestly shocked that he was the only player to achieve this, and is still the only player to date. Since TFLs were not recorded properly until the 2000s, I didn't use that in the search, but that would've made it even more inclusive of a club. Just off the top of your head, who do you think it would be?

Here is a listing of the QB, top 2 RB, top 3 WR, and top 2 TEs for the NFC North. The Bears don't have a top end guy like Jefferson, Aaron Jones, or Hockenson, but the Bears floor is higher than any other group. Arguably, Tonyan is the worst Bear in that group, but is better than any other TE2 on the list. Fields, Herbert, Foreman, Moore, Mooney, Claypool, Kmet, Tonyan Goff, Gibbs, Montgomery, St. Brown, Williams, Jones, LaPorta, Wright Love, Jones, Dillon, Watson, Doubs, Reed, Musgrave, Kraft Cousins, Mattison, Chandler, Jefferson, Addison, Osborn, Hockenson, Oliver If you break it down by position, Fields is probably #2 after Cousins if he doesn't impro…